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CIBC upgrades Canfor, Interfor and West Fraser to outperformer from neutral, with housing affordability improving, significant removal of British Columbia lumber industry capacity from Canfor; large capacity shock in BC Interior should boost lumber prices

Mayor of Houston, British Columbia, calls for calm after news Canfor will close sawmill, says 'we've had practice at this'; in 2014, a timber swap between Canfor and West Fraser led to closure of West Fraser's Houston mill and Canfor's Quesnel mill

CIBC: Canadian lumber producers, except Canfor and West Fraser, should see modestly reduced duty costs in H2 as rates drop from 8.59% to 8.24%; new rates expected to be in effect until fall 2024 when fifth administrative review’s rates would take effect

Canadian lumber producers could soon receive refunds of US duties after paying out a total of US$6.1B in past six years; after US Dept. of Commerce latest ruling, tariffs set to rise this summer for West Fraser, Canfor, decline slightly for most others

Credit Suisse upgrades West Fraser to outperform from neutral, but lowers target by US$5 to US$95; deceleration of housing market trends, weaker lumber prices among factors motivating curtailments, and such actions will help rebalance parts of the market

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