US demand for wood-plastic composite, plastic lumber, will rise 9.8%/year to US$5.5B by 2018; decking to account for more than two-fifths of demand, boosted by improving color-fade resistance and resemblance to expensive hardwoods

CLEVELAND, Ohio , June 5, 2014 (press release) – US demand for wood-plastic composite and plastic lumber is expected to rise 9.8 percent annually to $5.5 billion in 2018, creating a market for 2.6 billion pounds of plastic. A rebound in new housing completions from a low 2013 level and gains in residential improvement and repair expenditures will generate growth in demand. Freedonia analyst Paul Goehrke forecasts, “Demand gains will also be boosted by increased market penetration in decking applications.” These and other trends are presented in Wood-Plastic Composite & Plastic Lumber, a new study from The Freedonia Group, Inc., a Cleveland-based market research firm.

Decking applications will account for more than two-fifths of composite and plastic lumber demand in 2018, comprising 19 percent of all decking demand. Ongoing changes to manufacturing technologies that improve the color-fade resistance and the resemblance to natural wood, particularly expensive hardwoods such as ipe and redwood, will also boost the use of composite and plastic decking.

Increases in overall construction activity will support demand gains for both types of alternative lumber through 2018, but wood-plastic composite demand will rise at a quicker pace than demand for plastic lumber, albeit from a smaller base. In large, high-growth residential applications such as decking, wood-plastic composite is increasingly preferred to plastic lumber. As nearly two-thirds of composite and plastic lumber demand is generated by the residential market, expansion in residential construction activity will boost composite lumber demand. 

Among other applications, molding and trim are also expected to advance at a strong pace through 2018. Wood-plastic composite and plastic lumber use in molding and trim will benefit from renewed housing activity and from performance characteristics -- such as resistance to moisture and ease of shaping -- that are superior to those of lumber and engineered wood.

                                                                                                                                               

US COMPOSITE & PLASTIC LUMBER DEMAND

(million dollars)

 

% Annual Growth

Item     

2008

2013

2018

2008-2013

2013-2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

Composite & Plastic Lumber

3265

3447

5500

1.1

  9.8

Decking

1385

1400

2470

0.2

12.0

Molding & Trim

942

1005

1525

1.3

  8.7

Fencing

460

545

790

3.4

  7.7

Landscaping & Outdoor Products

218

212

300

-0.6

  7.2

Other

260

285

415

1.9

  7.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 © 2014 by The Freedonia Group, Inc.


Wood-Plastic Composite & Plastic Lumber (published 06/2014, 364 pages) is available for $5300 from The Freedonia Group, Inc. For further details or to arrange an interview with the analyst, please contact Corinne Gangloff by phone 440.684.9600 or e-mail pr@freedoniagroup.com. Information may also be obtained through www.freedoniagroup.com.

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