US demand for wood-plastic composite, plastic lumber, will rise 9.8%/year to US$5.5B by 2018; decking to account for more than two-fifths of demand, boosted by improving color-fade resistance and resemblance to expensive hardwoods
Aimee Bellah
CLEVELAND, Ohio
,
June 5, 2014
(press release)
–
US demand for wood-plastic composite and plastic lumber is expected to rise 9.8 percent annually to $5.5 billion in 2018, creating a market for 2.6 billion pounds of plastic. A rebound in new housing completions from a low 2013 level and gains in residential improvement and repair expenditures will generate growth in demand. Freedonia analyst Paul Goehrke forecasts, “Demand gains will also be boosted by increased market penetration in decking applications.” These and other trends are presented in Wood-Plastic Composite & Plastic Lumber, a new study from The Freedonia Group, Inc., a Cleveland-based market research firm.
US COMPOSITE & PLASTIC LUMBER DEMAND
(million dollars)
% Annual Growth
Item
2008
2013
2018
2008-2013 2013-2018
Composite & Plastic Lumber
3265
3447
5500
1.1
9.8
Decking
1385
1400
2470
0.2
12.0
Molding & Trim
942
1005
1525
1.3
8.7
Fencing
460
545
790
3.4
7.7
Landscaping & Outdoor Products
218
212
300
-0.6
7.2
Other
260
285
415
1.9
7.8
© 2014 by The Freedonia Group, Inc.
Decking applications will account for more than two-fifths of composite and plastic lumber demand in 2018, comprising 19 percent of all decking demand. Ongoing changes to manufacturing technologies that improve the color-fade resistance and the resemblance to natural wood, particularly expensive hardwoods such as ipe and redwood, will also boost the use of composite and plastic decking.
Increases in overall construction activity will support demand gains for both types of alternative lumber through 2018, but wood-plastic composite demand will rise at a quicker pace than demand for plastic lumber, albeit from a smaller base. In large, high-growth residential applications such as decking, wood-plastic composite is increasingly preferred to plastic lumber. As nearly two-thirds of composite and plastic lumber demand is generated by the residential market, expansion in residential construction activity will boost composite lumber demand.
Among other applications, molding and trim are also expected to advance at a strong pace through 2018. Wood-plastic composite and plastic lumber use in molding and trim will benefit from renewed housing activity and from performance characteristics -- such as resistance to moisture and ease of shaping -- that are superior to those of lumber and engineered wood.
Wood-Plastic Composite & Plastic Lumber (published 06/2014, 364 pages) is available for $5300 from The Freedonia Group, Inc. For further details or to arrange an interview with the analyst, please contact Corinne Gangloff by phone 440.684.9600 or e-mail pr@freedoniagroup.com. Information may also be obtained through www.freedoniagroup.com.
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