University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment posts final June reading of 50.0, down from May's 58.4; about 79% of consumers expected bad times in year ahead for business conditions, highest since 2009 as inflation remains key concern for consumers

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June 24, 2022 (press release) –

Final Results for June 2022

 
Jun
May Jun M-M Y-Y
  2022 2022 2021 Change Change
Index of Consumer Sentiment 50.0 58.4 85.5 -14.4% -41.5%
Current Economic Conditions 53.8 63.3 88.6 -15.0% -39.3%
Index of Consumer Expectations 47.5 55.2 83.5 -13.9% -43.1%

 

Next data release: Friday, July 15, 2022 for Preliminary July data at 10am ET

Surveys of Consumers Marks Leadership Change

Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu
The final June reading confirmed the early-June decline in consumer sentiment, settling 0.2 Index points below the preliminary reading and 14.4% below May for the lowest reading on record. Consumers across income, age, education, geographic region, political affiliation, stockholding and homeownership status all posted large declines. About 79% of consumers expected bad times in the year ahead for business conditions, the highest since 2009. Inflation continued to be of paramount concern to consumers; 47% of consumers blamed inflation for eroding their living standards, just one point shy of the all-time high last reached during the Great Recession. Since the preliminary reading, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points, exceeding the 50 basis point hike that had been previously telegraphed. The final June reading of the median expected year-ahead inflation rate was 5.3%, little changed from mid-month or the preceding four months. In contrast, long run expectations receded from its mid-month reading of 3.3% and settled at 3.1%, back within the 2.9-3.1% range seen in the past 10 months. Consumers also expressed the highest level of uncertainty over long-run inflation since 1991, continuing a sharp increase that began in 2021.

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