UK GDP estimated to grow 1.0% in Q4 following a downwardly revised 1.0% growth in Q3, with the largest contributors to increase from human health and social work activities; GDP increased 7.5% in full-year 2021: ONS

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LONDON , February 11, 2022 (press release) –

First quarterly estimate of gross domestic product (GDP). Contains current and constant price data on the value of goods and services to indicate the economic performance of the UK.

Main points

  • UK gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have increased by 1.0% in Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2021, following a downwardly revised 1.0% increase in Quarter 3 (July to Sept).
  • In output terms, the largest contributors to this quarterly increase were from human health and social work activities driven by increased GP visits at the start of the quarter, and a large increase in coronavirus (COVID-19) testing and tracing activities and the extension of the vaccination programme.
  • In Quarter 4 2021, excluding non-monetary gold in net trade, household consumption made the largest positive contribution to growth.
  • The level of quarterly GDP in Quarter 4 2021 is now 0.4% below its pre-coronavirus level (Quarter 4 2019).
  • Monthly estimates published today show that GDP fell by 0.2% in December 2021 but is at its pre-coronavirus level (February 2020).
  • GDP increased by an estimated 7.5% in 2021, following a 9.4% fall in 2020.

Industry Intelligence Editor's Note: This press release omits select charts and/or marketing language for editorial clarity. Click here to view the full report.

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