University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment posted a preliminary November level of 60.4, down from October's 63.8; lower-income consumers and younger consumers exhibited the strongest declines in sentiment

Sample article from our Consumer Wellness

November 15, 2023 (press release) –

Preliminary Results for November 2023

  Nov Oct Nov M-M Y-Y
  2023 2023 2022 Change Change
Index of Consumer Sentiment 60.4 63.8 56.7 -5.3% +6.5%
Current Economic Conditions 65.7 70.6 58.7 -6.9% +11.9%
Index of Consumer Expectations 56.9 59.3 55.5 -4.0% +2.5%

 

Interest Rate and Price Pressures on Consumers (September 8, 2023)
Revisions to Estimates (October 27, 2023)

Next data release: Wednesday, November 22, 2023 for Final November data at 10am ET
Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu
Consumer sentiment slipped for the fourth straight month, falling 5% in November. While current and expected personal finances both improved modestly this month, the long-run economic outlook slid 12%, in part due to growing concerns about the negative effects of high interest rates. Ongoing wars in Gaza and Ukraine weighed on many consumers as well. Overall, lower-income consumers and younger consumers exhibited the strongest declines in sentiment. In contrast, sentiment of the top tercile of stock holders improved 10%, reflecting the recent strengthening in equity markets.

Year-ahead inflation expectations inched up to 4.4%, indicating that the large increase between September’s 3.2% reading and October’s 4.2% reading was no fluke. The current reading is the highest since April 2023 and remains well above the 2.3-3.0% range seen in the two years prior to the pandemic. Long-run inflation expectations also rose, from 3.0% last month to 3.2% this month, the highest reading since 2011. Gas price expectations, both over the short and long run, rose to their highest readings this year.

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