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Goldman Sachs warns next US president will have limited means to boost domestic oil supply, noting strategic reserves are low and regulatory easing will only modestly affect long-term supply; 2025 Brent price forecast to be between US$75-US$90/barrel

Economist Intelligence Unit expects crude oil prices to average US$84.40/barrel in 2024 and US$81.30/barrel in 2025; global oil demand set to hit record highs in 2024/2025 on resilient demand in North America, continued demand growth in developing world

US commercial crude oil inventories in week ended Jul. 19 decreased by 3.7 million barrels from the previous week to 436.5 million barrels; inventories are about 5% below the five year average for this time of year: EIA

UBS: OPEC+ has significant spare capacity that's capping Brent crude price increases; excess capacity is estimated at historically high 5.8 million barrels/day, and has mitigated impact of geopolitical tensions such as conflicts in Middle East

Morgan Stanley predicts crude oil surplus in 2025 with Brent prices dropping to mid-to-high US$70s from current US$80/barrel; OPEC and non-OPEC supply expected to grow by about 2.5 million barrels/day in 2025, ahead of demand growth

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