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Goldman Sachs: If Fed pulls off soft landing, such that inflation cools to 2% while economy avoids recession, don't expect rate cuts until something goes wrong; analysts expect Fed to hike rates by 75 basis points in November and 50 bps in December

JPMorgan strategy chief says US economy won't hold up under Fed's plan to keep raising rates above 4%, which could tip it into a recession; inflation is dropping, and that level of tightening would amount to overkill

Goldman Sachs cuts year-end 2022 target for S&P 500 by 16% to 3,600 points, as Fed shows few signs of stepping back from aggressive rate-hike stance; inflation has proved more persistent than expected and unlikely to show signs of easing in near term

Commentary: Fed's devotion to big rate hikes means 75% odds of US recession in 2023; Fed expects target rate to be just under 4.5% at end-2022, meaning policymakers could make another 75-basis-point hike in November, followed by 50 bps rise in December

UBS sees chance of inflation falling low enough for Fed to pause rate-hiking cycle after December, but if that doesn't happen and Fed raises rates closer to 5%, it will be hard to avoid recession; 4% is about the highest economy would be able to withstand

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