California existing-home sales in October down 2.7% from September, 11.1% year-over-year to seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 401,170 units; median existing-home price down 0.3% month-over-month, up 25.3% from revised 2012 level to US$427,290: CAR

LOS ANGELES , November 19, 2013 (press release) – California home sales declined for the third straight month in October as economic uncertainty surrounding last month’s government shutdown and a typical seasonal slowdown dragged down the state’s home sales, although sales of condominiums and townhomes continued to be strong, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported.

“As anticipated, the housing market was disrupted by the closure of the federal government in October, which prolonged the loan approval process and led to the delay of many home closings, especially on FHA transactions,” said 2014 C.A.R. President Kevin Brown. “That said, we are returning to a market that’s more balanced than we’ve seen in recent years, with home price gains that are more sustainable and a sales pace that’s characteristic of a normal environment.”

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 401,170 units in October, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. Sales in October were down 2.7 percent from a revised 412,260 in September and down 11.1 percent from a revised 451,090 in October 2012. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2013 if sales maintained the October pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home edged down 0.3 percent from September’s median price of $428,740 to $427,290 in October. October’s price was 25.3 percent higher than the revised $340,910 recorded in October 2012, marking the 16th straight month of double-digit annual gains. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling as well as a general change in values.

“The recent jump in interest rates, coupled with the run-up in home prices since the beginning of this year, lowered housing affordability. As such, many buyers are considering more affordable options such as condos and townhomes, especially in the San Francisco Bay Area, where there is a greater abundance of these property types,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “As housing demand has cooled off in recent months, however, the statewide median price is finally showing some signs of stability. As we enter the slower home buying season, we expect home prices to be capped by seasonal factors and annual price gains to continue to taper off in the coming months.”

Other key facts of C.A.R.’s October 2013 resale housing report include:

• The available supply of existing, single-family detached homes for sale dipped in October to 3.4 months, down from September’s Unsold Inventory Index of 3.6 months. The index was 3.1 months in October 2012. The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A six- to seven-month supply is considered typical in a normal market.
• The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home also increased to 33.1 days in October from 29.6 days in September, but was down from 38 days in October 2012.
• Mortgage rates declined in October, with the 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaging 4.19 percent, down from 4.49 percent in September but up from 3.38 percent in October 2012, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates in October averaged 2.63 percent, down from 2.67 in September but up from 2.59 percent in October 2012.

Charts:

Unsold Inventory by price range.
Change in sales by price range.
Share of sales by price range.

Note: The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home. The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold. Due to the low sales volume in some areas, median price changes may exhibit unusual fluctuation. The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

October 2013 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

October-13 Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sales
State/Region/County Oct-13 Sep-13   Oct-12   MTM% Chg YTY% Chg MTM% Chg YTY% Chg
CA SFH (SAAR) $427,290 $428,740 r $340,910 r -0.3% 25.3% -2.7% -11.1%
CA Condo/Townhomes $351,170 $344,210   $267,060 r 2.0% 31.5% 3.2% 4.4%
Los Angeles Metro Area $391,450 $390,800   $318,660   0.2% 22.8% 8.7% -8.1%
Inland Empire $257,820 $252,100   $198,100   2.3% 30.1% 0.8% -9.4%
San Francisco Bay Area $679,640 $687,260   $593,080   -1.1% 14.6% 13.4% 0.1%
                   
San Francisco Bay Area                  
Alameda $618,930 $640,340   $535,620   -3.3% 15.6% 24.0% 8.0%
Contra-Costa (Cty) $740,200 $770,450   $639,560   -3.9% 15.7% -4.1% 4.7%
Marin $959,740 $893,140   $806,370   7.5% 19.0% 14.2% 4.7%
Napa $497,730 $477,270   $426,190   4.3% 16.8% -1.9% -25.5%
San Francisco $844,510 $858,330   $767,860   -1.6% 10.0% 30.6% 7.6%
San Mateo $910,000 $908,000   $819,000   0.2% 11.1% 31.3% 1.5%
Santa Clara $770,000 $778,000   $688,000   -1.0% 11.9% 2.3% -4.8%
Solano $294,920 $286,220   $220,560   3.0% 33.7% 24.1% 6.4%
Sonoma $469,900 $455,850   $374,640   3.1% 25.4% 8.7% -9.4%
Southern California                  
Los Angeles $447,130 $459,020   $364,810   -2.6% 22.6% 21.5% -5.2%
Orange County $660,080 $672,680   $558,680   -1.9% 18.1% -3.3% -18.3%
Riverside County $296,640 $293,560   $230,730   1.0% 28.6% -1.8% -11.6%
San Bernardino $191,140 $185,860   $148,480   2.8% 28.7% 5.1% -5.8%
San Diego $477,130 $490,130   $395,470   -2.7% 20.6% 9.7% -8.1%
Ventura $538,740 $550,000   $416,350   -2.0% 29.4% 4.4% 11.3%
Central Coast                  
Monterey $412,000 $422,500   $315,000   -2.5% 30.8% -11.2% -19.4%
San Luis Obispo $440,380 $495,350   $395,140   -11.1% 11.4% 5.3% -18.2%
Santa Barbara $613,640 $692,930   $535,710 r -11.4% 14.5% -16.3% -3.1%
Santa Cruz $650,000 $639,500   $499,500   1.6% 30.1% 2.4% -7.7%
Central Valley                  
Fresno $182,620 $185,830   $151,850   -1.7% 20.3% 3.5% -16.2%
Glenn $125,000 $134,000   $120,000   -6.7% 4.2% -38.1% -27.8%
Kern (Bakersfield) $185,000 $194,000 r $155,000   -4.6% 19.4% 3.8% -18.9%
Kings County $181,000 $168,460   $151,430   7.4% 19.5% -16.9% -31.0%
Madera $153,330 $190,000   $140,000   -19.3% 9.5% 63.6% 63.6%
Merced $171,820 $178,570   $123,000   -3.8% 39.7% 31.6% 3.3%
Placer County $364,150 $365,290   $300,440   -0.3% 21.2% -1.1% -2.4%
Sacramento $253,560 $255,390   $189,800   -0.7% 33.6% -0.7% -20.4%
San Benito $397,500 $428,950   $280,000   -7.3% 42.0% 21.1% -16.4%
San Joaquin $234,160 $242,370   $179,570   -3.4% 30.4% 3.1% -17.3%
Stanislaus $209,110 $194,890   $151,360   7.3% 38.2% 11.4% -7.6%
Tulare $161,330 $163,500   $143,610 r -1.3% 12.3% 9.5% -10.0%
Other Counties in California                  
Amador $198,000 $252,780   $192,000   -21.7% 3.1% -26.7% -34.0%
Butte County $248,330 $250,000   $210,940   -0.7% 17.7% 23.4% -4.9%
Calaveras $225,000 $218,990 r NA   2.7% NA -9.4% NA
Del Norte $176,600 $136,500   NA   29.4% NA 15.0% NA
El Dorado County $367,390 $334,900   $276,350   9.7% 32.9% 6.7% -9.6%
Humboldt $260,530 $251,090   $243,270   3.8% 7.1% -29.4% -11.6%
Lake County $196,250 $150,000   $111,430   30.8% 76.1% 1.4% -9.0%
Tuolumne $200,000 $207,690   $168,000   -3.7% 19.0% -11.8% -28.6%
Mendocino $255,000 $285,710   $262,500   -10.7% -2.9% 47.1% -9.1%
Shasta $208,540 $189,050 r $176,670 r 10.3% 18.0% 2.7% -14.9%
Siskiyou County $156,670 $155,000   $180,000   1.1% -13.0% -29.5% -8.8%
Sutter $195,750 $204,700   NA   -4.4% NA -21.6% NA
Tehama $142,500 $150,000   $116,670   -5.0% 22.1% -22.2% -57.1%
Yolo $311,290 $331,030   $245,000   -6.0% 27.1% 29.5% 1.4%
Yuba $195,000 $170,000   NA   14.7% NA -8.7% NA
r = revised
NA = not available


October 2013 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

October-13 Unsold Inventory Index         Median Time on Market        
State/Region/County Oct-13 Sep-13   Oct-12   Oct-13 Sep-13   Oct-12  
CA SFH (SAAR) 3.4 3.6   3.1   33.1 29.6   38.0  
CA Condo/Townhomes 3.0 3.1   3.1 r 31.8 29.7   46.1  
Los Angeles Metro Area 3.6 3.6   3.3   40.7 37.4   46.1  
Inland Empire 4.0 3.7   3.5   37.2 31.8   44.1  
San Francisco Bay Area 2.3 2.8   2.5   37.5 37.4   43.4  
                     
San Francisco Bay Area                    
Alameda 2.0 2.6   2.0   50.0 49.2   58.3  
Contra-Costa (Central Cty) 2.5 2.5   2.4 r 52.9 49.2   58.3  
Marin 2.9 3.8   3.5   38.4 43.2   53.0  
Napa 4.7 5.0   4.1   49.0 53.1   74.8  
San Francisco 2.5 3.4   2.9   25.1 23.7   29.9  
San Mateo 1.8 2.6   2.0   19.4 20.1   22.0  
Santa Clara 1.9 2.1   1.9   21.4 20.1   21.6  
Solano 2.4 3.1   3.4   38.0 35.4   45.3  
Sonoma 3.0 3.6   3.3   48.1 48.2   61.2  
Sourthern California                    
Los Angeles 3.2 3.4   3.0   35.7 33.0   40.3  
Orange County 3.8 3.8   3.2   54.5 51.0   57.8  
Riverside County 4.3 3.8   3.4   38.1 32.2   44.3  
San Bernardino 3.5 3.6   3.5   36.1 31.2   43.8  
San Diego 3.7 4.2   3.7   28.1 25.5   40.0  
Ventura 3.3 3.7   4.6   49.1 45.6   69.1  
Central Coast                    
Monterey 4.3 4.0   3.8   26.8 26.6   27.7  
San Luis Obispo 4.8 5.4   3.9   27.5 29.0   42.7  
Santa Barbara 4.1 3.6   4.8 r 33.8 37.2   47.7  
Santa Cruz 3.5 3.8   3.3   27.1 22.8   25.3  
Central Valley                    
Fresno 4.3 4.4   3.7   24.3 25.0   26.0  
Glenn 6.7 4.5   3.2   69.7 45.5   61.0  
Kern (Bakersfield) 3.1 2.6 r 3.0 r 18.0 15.0   25.0  
Kings County 3.9 3.0   2.5   32.3 37.2   44.3  
Madera 2.9 5.0   4.8   28.5 27.6   27.6  
Merced 2.5 3.2   2.8   23.1 21.9   27.6  
Placer County 3.2 3.2   2.7   24.7 22.1   24.9  
Sacramento 3.1 3.0   1.9   21.6 20.4   22.5  
San Benito 2.8 3.4   2.7   24.8 19.4   21.4  
San Joaquin 2.6 2.8   2.1   20.9 19.5   23.0  
Stanislaus 2.5 2.7   2.2   20.4 20.1   23.6  
Tulare 4.0 4.2   NA   28.6 24.1   22.4 r
Other Counties in California                    
Amador 5.6 4.4   5.5   28.9 43.1   56.4  
Butte County 4.4 5.5   3.6   45.0 37.2   42.6  
Calaveras 6.2 6.0   NA   62.0 64.0   NA  
Del Norte 7.3 8.8   NA   78.0 96.0   NA  
El Dorado County 4.4 4.9   3.5   42.2 34.2   42.2  
Humboldt 7.2 5.1   5.7   32.9 32.9   68.8  
Lake County 5.5 5.7   5.6   75.5 74.2   55.9  
Tuolumne 7.3 6.5   4.5   29.5 51.1   68.3  
Mendocino 6.9 10.8   6.3   73.4 85.9   70.2  
Shasta 5.5 5.5 r 4.0 r 27.2 38.8 r 32.6 r
Siskiyou County 11.2 8.9   10.9   93.9 57.6   57.4  
Sutter 3.2 2.7   NA   19.5 14.0   NA  
Tehama 9.4 7.6   4.5   41.9 36.4   58.7  
Yolo 2.6 3.6   2.5   21.8 21.0   27.2  
Yuba 3.0 2.9   NA   24.0 16.0   NA  

r = revised
NA = not available



* All content is copyrighted by Industry Intelligence, or the original respective author or source. You may not recirculate, redistrubte or publish the analysis and presentation included in the service without Industry Intelligence's prior written consent. Please review our terms of use.