Canadian manufacturing sales fall 0.2% in August from July to C$49.5B, following three months of gains, with sales falling in 11 of 21 industries; inventories rise 0.3% to C$68.9B, have been moving upward since spring 2010: Statistics Canada

OTTAWA , October 16, 2013 (press release) – Manufacturing sales edged down 0.2% to $49.5 billion in August, following three months of gains. Sales were down in the miscellaneous, food and motor vehicle assembly industries. However, these declines were largely offset by gains in the aerospace product and parts and primary metal industries.

Sales were down in 11 of 21 industries, representing just over 40% of manufacturing sales.

Non-durable goods sales declined 0.7% to $24.6 billion while durable goods sales rose 0.4% to $24.9 billion.

Constant dollar sales fell 0.3%, indicating a slight decrease in volumes.

Chart 1 
Manufacturing sales edge downwards
Line chart – Chart 1: Manufacturing sales edge downwards, from August 2008 to August 2013

Drop in the miscellaneous industry offset by gains elsewhere

Sales fell 22.6% to $858 million in the miscellaneous manufacturing industry, more than reversing a 19.8% gain in July. Sales in this industry have been volatile over the past several months.

In the food industry, sales were down 1.6% to $7.1 billion. The largest decline was in the grain and oilseed milling sub-industry, as some facilities shutdown for part of August for maintenance work.

Motor vehicle assembly sales were down 2.5% to $4.4 billion. The decrease reflects smaller than usual gains in August following regular plant maintenance shutdowns in July.

The sales declines were largely offset by gains in the aerospace product and parts and primary metal industries. Aerospace production rose 17.8% to $1.5 billion in August, following a 17.1% decline in July. Production in the industry is often volatile.

In the primary metal industry, sales rose 3.0% to $3.6 billion. Most of the gain reflected higher volumes of product sold.

Sales decline in five provinces while Quebec posts gains

Sales were down in five provinces in August, with the largest decline in Ontario.

In Ontario, sales fell 2.1% to $22.5 billion. Almost 40% of the provincial decline was caused by a 28.4% drop in the miscellaneous manufacturing industry. Sales also declined in the motor vehicle assembly, chemical, machinery and food industries.

Sales in Saskatchewan decreased 6.0% to $1.2 billion, mostly as a result of a 14.2% drop in the food industry and a 12.8% decline in the chemical industry.

Quebec manufacturers reported a 3.2% gain to $11.6 billion, the third consecutive monthly increase. Prior to the recent advance, sales had declined in 10 of 12 months. Most of the gain in August was caused by an increase in production in the aerospace product and parts industry. Sales were also up in the petroleum and coal product as well as the primary metal industries.

In Alberta, sales rose 1.9% to $6.5 billion. Large gains were posted by the machinery, the petroleum and coal product as well as the fabricated metal product industries.

Inventories edge upwards

Inventories edged up 0.3% to $68.9 billion in August. Inventories have been moving upwards since the spring of 2010.

In the petroleum and coal product industry, inventories were up 5.3% to $6.3 billion. The gain stemmed from higher goods-in-process and finished product inventories on hand at a number of refineries.

Inventories rose 3.3% to $7.5 billion in the aerospace product and parts industry. The gain largely reflected higher levels of goods-in-process.

These gains were partly offset by a 2.0% decrease in inventories in the primary metal industry and a 1.4% decline in the machinery industry.

Chart 2 
Inventories edge upwards
Line chart – Chart 2: Inventories edge upwards, from August 2008 to August 2013

The inventory-to-sales ratio remained at 1.39 in August. The ratio measures the time, in months, that would be required to exhaust inventories if sales were to remain at their current level.

Chart 3 
The inventory-to-sales ratio is flat
Line chart – Chart 3: The inventory-to-sales ratio is flat, from August 2008 to August 2013

Unfilled orders rise

Unfilled orders rose 0.4% to $73.9 billion in August, the ninth increase in ten months. The gain in August was largely attributable to higher unfilled orders in the aerospace product and parts industry. Declines in the machinery and fabricated metal product industries offset much of the gain in the aerospace industry.

In the aerospace product and parts industry, unfilled orders increased 1.9% to $42.0 billion. The gain reflected a strengthening in the value of the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar in August. A large proportion of aerospace unfilled orders are held in US dollars.

In the machinery industry, unfilled orders fell 4.0% to $8.3 billion, as a result of declines reported by a number of manufacturers. Fabricated metal product unfilled orders were down 1.8% to $6.1 billion.

Chart 4 
Unfilled orders rise
Line chart – Chart 4: Unfilled orders rise, from August 2008 to August 2013

New orders edged up 0.1% to $49.8 billion. A large gain in the aerospace product and parts industry was mostly offset by declines in the machinery, motor vehicle assembly and miscellaneous industries.

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