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Apollo economist warns stock market's hype for AI will make it hard for Fed to cut rates in 2024, says rally is countering central bank's tightening efforts; Fed may not cut interest rates this year at all, despite expected 75 basis points of cuts

Apollo chief economist cites 10 reasons Fed won't cut rates in 2024, including higher inflation readings, resilient job market; US economy is simply not slowing down, and Fed pivot has provided strong tailwind to growth since December

Apollo Management economists say default cycle in US has begun, spurred by high interest rates and debt costs; default rates expected to continue rising over coming quarters, impacting in particular middle market companies

Apollo's chief economist sees US economy headed for recession, but it's likely to be milder than prior slumps; any potential slowdown this time would be 'engineered' by the Fed, which can undo its measures that initially slowed the economy

Apollo chief economist says rising corporate bankruptcies in US are due to Fed rate hikes; bankruptcies have reached 516 so far this year and set to outpace 2020, potentially setting up 2023 to be worst year for corporate bankruptcies in over a decade

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